Home Loans – A long term view wins the game

home owner holding keys
It’s become a national obsession recently.  Will interest rates be cut soon? What will that do to house prices? And should I put off buying that dream home in the hope of securing a better price down the track? There is a lot of noise to contend with when it comes to house buying, whether it be in the media or around the BBQ at a friend’s place. Yet, all of it tends to focus on the next 6-12 months – a very short-term view in property.  Most Australians know their real estate is a long-term proposition, and this is borne out by the statistics. After all, the average Aussie house price has increased by over 80% in the last 10 years alone.  However, the noise is hard to ignore and the fear of buying a major asset that may depreciate in value in the short term would cause most people to think twice.   So, what are the specific reasons for taking a long-term view?

Renting v Buying – the long-term cost factor 

There are only two main options when considering what you are going to spend on accommodation – renting a place or buying your own.  Younger Australians tend to start their property journey by renting, as it feels less intimidating than committing to a mortgage or saving a big deposit to get one.  However, renting comes with hidden long-term costs that often go unnoticed. When you rent a property, the cost is rarely fixed beyond 12 months and is therefore subject to increases due to inflation and market demand – just ask anyone renting during the last few years!  Average rents in Australia rose by 33% between late 2021 and late 2023, and although this growth has slowed in recent months, rents have still been rising faster than inflation in most places.    This means that as a renter your total expenditure on accommodation is rising over time. Conversely, when you purchase a property you effectively “lock in” your housing costs through your mortgage repayments. While interest rates may fluctuate in the short term, once your loan is paid off, your accommodation cost reduces dramatically, as the diagram below shows.  approach-retirement   Meanwhile, renters will still be paying—and potentially paying more—long after those who bought have finished repaying their home loan. Buying a property effectively acts as a long-term hedge against inflation, locking in costs for the future.  The sooner you start this process, the more financial security you build for retirement – which may seem a long way off on your 20’s and 30’s but is worth considering. 

Timing the market is a lottery 

If renting is less cost effective than buying in the long term, then choosing the right time to buy would be the next decision to make. But is it wise to try and time the market?  Everyone wants to buy property at the perfect time, but chasing “the right moment” to enter the property market is often a gamble.  History shows us that short-term movements in house prices can vary drastically, making precise timing almost impossible.  Take the Australian property market in the eighties for example. If you had bought in 1986 and sold in 1987, you would have lost 20% in value on average.  Yet if you had bought the same property and waited to sell until 1989, you would probably have made money on the transaction.  The lesson? Trying to time the market can be a lottery, and you are better focusing on the bigger picture.  Property values in Australia have historically shown consistent growth over the long term, and there is little to suggest that will change in the coming years. 

Don’t undervalue the price of happiness 

One thing that’s often forgotten in the complex decision to buy a home is what you are doing it for in the first place – to be happy.  Focusing solely on price can lead people to overlook the emotional value of owning your own place, and the personal satisfaction that can bring.  Finding that perfect property in a great neighbourhood, close to quality schools and easily accessible to transport links will make your life easier and less stressful.  Delaying the decision to buy it can be costly too.   That ideal property is likely to be on others’ wish list in the coming years and that will drive the price even higher further down the track.  Ultimately, overvaluing short-term savings – however tempting – can mean missing out on a property that could improve your life in countless ways.  If you find a property that ticks all the boxes – one the fits your lifestyle and is within your budget financially – don’t wait.  The benefits of living in your ideal home are priceless.

A long-term view wins the game 

Taking a long-term view is the mantra of most, if not all investments, and buying a property is likely to be the biggest investment you’ll ever make. Remember that buying and selling is expensive and every time you do it increases the total cost of owning your own home outright – which is the dream, right? Short-term fluctuations will happen, but over the course of 10, 20 or 30 years, Australian property prices will almost certainly appreciate. More people are coming to our country than leaving and that creates long term demand.  Taking advantage of that requires a long-term view on home loans too. That isn’t just a smart financial choice, it’s a strategy that can bring stability, security and even improve your quality of life with the right property.  And you can be the wise one at those BBQ’s in 20 years’ time too..    Note that Loanscope are independent mortgage brokers and do not offer independent financial advice. All financial decisions should be taken in conjunction with a qualified financial advisor.  For more information on the full range of loans we can help you secure, click here 
Emmanuel Guignard (MBA)
Director & Principal Mortgage Broker

With over 15 years’ experience in the finance industry and a recently completed MBA in Financial Planning, Emmanuel leads the broking team at Loanscope. His experience includes working with a wide range of property investors, from first time buyers to investors with large property portfolios. This includes handling complex applications involving trusts, company structures and self-managed super funds. He also operates as a qualified mentor to other mortgage brokers via the FBBA mentor program.

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